… there are so many variables we simply cannot guess. Will free agents come to New York (or Dallas)? Can Porzingis stay healthy, and is he a superstar? I have serious doubts about Porzingis’s health and that makes me question the ultimate upside, but …
As a single trade, this is a huge loss for New York and a huge potential win for Dallas. If Porzingis can return to his pre-injury level and stay healthy, Dallas looks like a playoff team for the next ten years.
If we look at the trade as one of many moves, the only way it works out for the Knicks is if they hit the lottery, both literally and figuratively. They either need to sign a big free agent or land Zion, who then becomes the next LeBron. Dallas is a much better run franchise, so I don’t think those picks are going to be all that valuable (14–20th).
For the Mavs, they still come out better. DSJ was horrible as a Mav, with not one ounce of self-awareness. The idea of him demanding the ball more when he gags in crunch time and they have far superior playmakers in Doncic and Barea absolutely boggles the mind. Jordan was tanking the entire season, and Matthews is an older version of Hardaway. As much as I liked Harrison Barnes with the Warriors, his contract makes him a lot less likeable, so dumping his contract on Sactown was a good way to make the Hardaway contract palatable.